Research, data analysis, and commentary on abortion and declining birth rates.
On 17 November 2025, Philip Pilkington, an economist and senior researcher at the Hungarian Institute of International Affairs, posted a thread on X in which he said “Britain is in a phase of self-euthanisation.” [i] He shared some data analysis, including mine,[ii] showing that in 2024 one-third of all viable pregnancies ended in abortion. He... Continue Reading →
In the next two generations, our natural population is projected to halve, a decline driven largely by increasing childlessness. Current projections suggest that more than 25% of women reaching age 45 in the next 20 years, will do so without having children, and abortion plays a role in about half of these cases. Demographers have... Continue Reading →
The numbers from the Office for National Statistics could not be clearer: England and Wales are falling short of replacement-level births, with maternities sliding year after year while abortions climb to nearly a third of all conceptions. On paper, the “missing” births are more than accounted for by abortions—but the idea that banning abortion could... Continue Reading →
In August 2025, the Office for National Statistics published data showing the total fertility rate in England and Wales for 2024 was 1.41 children per women, the lowest value on record for the 3rd year in a row. There is little doubt that our birth rate is in decline—and so too are grandparents. The data... Continue Reading →
An increasing proportion of women reaching their 30s, are doing so childless. I agree with demographers and commentators that this is the critical factor in our declining fertility rate but contend that we cannot / should not discuss these falling birth rates without signposting the impact of abortion. In August 2025, the Office for National... Continue Reading →
Is abortion being used as birth control and could it be a critical enabler of our below-replacement birth rates; in just two generations our population will reduce by 40%: 100 adults, 77 children, 59 grandchildren. In 2022, the most recent year in which we have official data for the whole of the UK, there were... Continue Reading →
We are missing a critical factor when we discuss the increasing decline in fertility and do not consider or address the impact of abortion. Data from the ONS show us quite clearly that the ‘gap’ between live births and the total needed for replacement has generally been less than the number of abortions. That said,... Continue Reading →
Britain is facing a “baby bust”, we are not having enough children and unless we fix this our country will need significantly higher immigration or suffer economic ruin. This is the stark message being delivered by Miriam Cates MP and her colleagues at the Alliance for Responsible Citizenship – and they are not wrong. In... Continue Reading →
Official data show an increasing year-on-year trend in young women and girls delaying their first childbirth. Whilst changes in sexual relationships and use of contraception are factors influencing this, we note that in 2022, half of all viable pregnancies for Generation Z ended in elective abortion. This more recent post verifies that in 2022, for... Continue Reading →
It has recently become clear that the UK’s birth rate is in decline, raising concerns about future economic, social, and political impact. There are many factors driving this trend, the whys, that other posts will address; the following addresses the ‘how’, concluding that we are facing a UK birthed baby shortage that is driven by... Continue Reading →
Summary I think we must consider the impact of abortion when discussing future population growth. Based on current data and the UN projected rates, the availability of abortion choice reduces population growth over the next eighty years by 43%, enabling the projected 11.2b rather than 16b, a reduction of 4.8 billion. Discussion Our global population... Continue Reading →
